Alappuzha assembly elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Alappuzha is a classic swing district. Some of the top leaders of CPM and Congress come from the district, and the two parties are neck and neck every election since 1982. With 2 constituencies leaning LDF, and with Thomas Issac, CPM winning back heavily Congress leaning Alappuzha constituency, and JSS votes shifting to LDF, it is highly plausible the district may lean left this time around.

 

Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Aroor LDF 7.4
Cherthala SWING 6.0
Alappuzha UDF 11.6
Ambalapuzha LDF 2.7
Kuttanad SWING 6.4
Haripad SWING 3.8
Kayamkulam SWING 1.7
Mavelikkara SWING 6.1
Chengannur UDF 5.0

 

INC and CPM are neck and neck in the district since 1982. JSS, RSP, Kerala Congress and NCP have spotty presence in the district. Alappuzha is the weakest district for BJP,  which won 3.4% of votes in 2011 almost a third down in 10 years since 2001 election.

 

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
INC 25 2
CPM 22 5
KCJ 5 0
CPI 4 1
NDP 3 0
INCA 2 0
JSS 2 0
RSP 2 0
CS 1 0
DIC 1 0
DLP 1 0
NCP 1 1
TOTAL 69 9

 

Constituencies in Alappuzha are Alappuzha, Ambalapuzha, Aroor, Chengannur, Cherthala, Haripad, Kayamkulam, Kuttanad and Mavelikkara.

AROOR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Aroor is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,A. M. Ariff of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated A. A. Shukkur of Indian National Congress by a margin of 16852 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 52 45 2
1987 50 45 4
1991 50 46 3
1996 40 55 4
2001 40 50 4
2006 50 46 3
2011 52 41 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 CPM 7 KCJ
1987 CPM 5 INC
1991 CPM 4 INC
1996 JSS 15 CPM
2001 JSS 10 CPM
2006 CPM 4 JSS
2011 CPM 11 INC


Aroor 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Gouriamma CPM 52
T. T. Mathew KCJ 45
Natarajan Vaidyan BJP 2


Aroor 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Gouriamma CPM 50
P. J. Francis INC 45
H. Jayakumar BJP 4


Aroor 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Gouriamma CPM 50
P. J. Francis INC 46
V. Padmanabhan BJP 3


Aroor 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Gouriamma JSS 55
B. Vinod CPM 40
Jayakumar Hariram BJP 4


Aroor 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Gouriamma JSS 50
K. V. Devadas CPM 40
K. Rajeevan IND 5


Aroor 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. M. Ariff CPM 50
K. R. Gouriamma JSS 46
N. V. Prakasan BJP 3


Aroor 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. M. Ariff CPM 52
A. A. Shukkur INC 41
T. Sajeevlal BJP 5


ALAPPUZHA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Alappuzha is a slightly UDF leaning constituency. In 2011,T. M. Thomas Isaac of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated P. J. Mathew of Indian National Congress by a margin of 16342 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 48 50
1987 46 30 6
1991 46 47 3
1996 42 51
2001 37 58 3
2006 39 59 1
2011 54 42 3


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 NDP 2 CPI
1987 CPI 16 NDPP
1991 NDP 1 CPI
1996 INC 9 CPI
2001 INC 21 CPI
2006 INC 20 CPI
2011 CPM 12 INC


Alappuzha 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. Ramachandran Nair NDP 50
P. K. Vasudevan Nair CPI 48
K. P. M. Sheriff IND 1


Alappuzha 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Rosamma Punnoose CPI 46
Kalarkode Narayanan Nair NDPP 30
Ind IND 18


Alappuzha 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. Ramachandran Nair NDP 47
P. S. Somasekharan CPI 46
S. Arumugham Pillai BJP 3


Alappuzha 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. C. Venugopal INC 51
P. S. Somasekharan CPI 42
P. M. Hussain PDP 4


Alappuzha 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. C. Venugopal INC 58
A. M Abdul Raheem CPI 37
D. Krishnan BJP 3


Alappuzha 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. C. Venugopal INC 59
T. J. Anjelose CPI 39
Parayil Radhakrishnan BJP 1


Alappuzha 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. M. Thomas Isaac CPM 54
P. J. Mathew INC 42
Kottaram Unnikrishnan BJP 3


AMBALAPUZHA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Ambalapuzha is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,G. Sudhakaran of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated M. Liju of Indian National Congress by a margin of 16580 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 48 51
1987 47 47 3
1991 49 47 2
1996 49 46 3
2001 47 51
2006 53 41 3
2011 54 40 2


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 DLP 3 CPM
1987 INC 0 CPM
1991 CPM 2 INC
1996 CPM 3 INC
2001 INC 4 CPM
2006 CPM 12 DIC
2011 CPM 14 INC


Ambalapuzha 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
V. Dinakaran DLP 51
P. K. Chandranandan CPM 48
R. Balakrishna Pillai IND 1


Ambalapuzha 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
V. Dinakaran INC 47
G. Sudhakaran CPM 47
M. P. Unnikrishnan BJP 3


Ambalapuzha 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. K. Sadasivan CPM 49
V. Dinakaran INC 47
K. D. Ramakrishnan BJP 2


Ambalapuzha 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Suseela Gopalan CPM 49
Devadath G. Purakkad INC 46
K. D. Ramakrishnan BJP 3


Ambalapuzha 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
D. Sugathan INC 51
C. K. Sadasivan CPM 47
P. K. Sasi IND 1


Ambalapuzha 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
G. Sudhakaran CPM 53
D. Sugathan DIC 41
G. Baladevan BJP 3


Ambalapuzha 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
G. Sudhakaran CPM 54
M. Liju INC 40
P. K. Vasudevan BJP 2


HARIPAD

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Haripad is a swing constituency. In 2011,Ramesh Chennithala of Indian National Congress defeated G. Krishnaprasad of Communist Party Of India by a margin of 5520 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 47 52
1987 46 50 2
1991 48 48 1
1996 50 44 3
2001 50 47
2006 47 49 2
2011 46 50 2


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INC 5 CPM
1987 INC 4 RSP
1991 INC 0 RSP
1996 RSP 6 INC
2001 CPM 3 RSPB
2006 INC 2 CPM
2011 INC 4 CPI


Haripad 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 52
P. G. Thampi CPM 47


Haripad 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 50
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 46
Nedumthara Unnikrishnan BJP 2


Haripad 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. K. Sreenivasan INC 48
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 48
Nedumthara Unnikrishnan BJP 1


Haripad 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 50
N. Mohan Kumar INC 44
T. S. Girish Kumar BJP 3


Haripad 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. K. Devakumar CPM 50
A. V. Thamarakshan RSPB 47
E. N. Shanthiraj IND 2


Haripad 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
B. Babu Prasad INC 49
T. K. Devakumar CPM 47
N. Chitrangathan BJP 2


Haripad 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 50
G. Krishnaprasad CPI 46
Ajith Sankar BJP 2