Alappuzha is a classic swing district. Some of the top leaders of CPM and Congress come from the district, and the two parties are neck and neck every election since 1982. With 2 constituencies leaning LDF, and with Thomas Issac, CPM winning back heavily Congress leaning Alappuzha constituency, and JSS votes shifting to LDF, it is highly plausible the district may lean left this time around.
Constituencies and Swing:
|Trends and Margins|
INC and CPM are neck and neck in the district since 1982. JSS, RSP, Kerala Congress and NCP have spotty presence in the district. Alappuzha is the weakest district for BJP, which won 3.4% of votes in 2011 almost a third down in 10 years since 2001 election.
Parties of influence:
Constituencies in Alappuzha are Alappuzha, Ambalapuzha, Aroor, Chengannur, Cherthala, Haripad, Kayamkulam, Kuttanad and Mavelikkara.