Alappuzha assembly elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Alappuzha is a classic swing district. Some of the top leaders of CPM and Congress come from the district, and the two parties are neck and neck every election since 1982. With 2 constituencies leaning LDF, and with Thomas Issac, CPM winning back heavily Congress leaning Alappuzha constituency, and JSS votes shifting to LDF, it is highly plausible the district may lean left this time around.

 

Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Aroor LDF 7.4
Cherthala SWING 6.0
Alappuzha UDF 11.6
Ambalapuzha LDF 2.7
Kuttanad SWING 6.4
Haripad SWING 3.8
Kayamkulam SWING 1.7
Mavelikkara SWING 6.1
Chengannur UDF 5.0

 

INC and CPM are neck and neck in the district since 1982. JSS, RSP, Kerala Congress and NCP have spotty presence in the district. Alappuzha is the weakest district for BJP,  which won 3.4% of votes in 2011 almost a third down in 10 years since 2001 election.

 

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
INC 25 2
CPM 22 5
KCJ 5 0
CPI 4 1
NDP 3 0
INCA 2 0
JSS 2 0
RSP 2 0
CS 1 0
DIC 1 0
DLP 1 0
NCP 1 1
TOTAL 69 9

 

Constituencies in Alappuzha are Alappuzha, Ambalapuzha, Aroor, Chengannur, Cherthala, Haripad, Kayamkulam, Kuttanad and Mavelikkara.

HARIPAD

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Haripad is a swing constituency. In 2011,Ramesh Chennithala of Indian National Congress defeated G. Krishnaprasad of Communist Party Of India by a margin of 5520 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 47 52
1987 46 50 2
1991 48 48 1
1996 50 44 3
2001 50 47
2006 47 49 2
2011 46 50 2


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INC 5 CPM
1987 INC 4 RSP
1991 INC 0 RSP
1996 RSP 6 INC
2001 CPM 3 RSPB
2006 INC 2 CPM
2011 INC 4 CPI


Haripad 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 52
P. G. Thampi CPM 47


Haripad 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 50
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 46
Nedumthara Unnikrishnan BJP 2


Haripad 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. K. Sreenivasan INC 48
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 48
Nedumthara Unnikrishnan BJP 1


Haripad 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. V. Thamarakshan RSP 50
N. Mohan Kumar INC 44
T. S. Girish Kumar BJP 3


Haripad 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. K. Devakumar CPM 50
A. V. Thamarakshan RSPB 47
E. N. Shanthiraj IND 2


Haripad 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
B. Babu Prasad INC 49
T. K. Devakumar CPM 47
N. Chitrangathan BJP 2


Haripad 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ramesh Chennithala INC 50
G. Krishnaprasad CPI 46
Ajith Sankar BJP 2


CHERTHALA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Cherthala is a swing constituency. In 2011,P. Thilothaman of Communist Party Of India defeated K. R. Gouriamma of Janadhipathya Samrakshna Samithi by a margin of 18315 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 48 51
1987 46 49 3
1991 49 48 3
1996 44 52 2
2001 46 52
2006 52 44 4
2011 53 42 4


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INCA 3 CPI
1987 INC 3 CPI
1991 CPI 1 INC
1996 INC 8 CPI
2001 INC 6 CPI
2006 CPI 8 INC
2011 CPI 11 JSS


Cherthala 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Vayalar Ravi INCA 51
P. S. Sreenivasan CPI 48
V. K. Sasi IND 1


Cherthala 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Vayalar Ravi INC 49
C. K. Chandrappan CPI 46
K. R. Raghavan BJP 3


Cherthala 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. K. Chandrappan CPI 49
Vayalar Ravi INC 48
P. K. Induchudan BJP 3


Cherthala 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. K. Antony INC 52
C. K. Chandrappan CPI 44
S. Padmakumar BJP 2


Cherthala 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. K. Antony INC 52
C. K. Chandrappan CPI 46
N. Hariharan JDU 1


Cherthala 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Thilothaman CPI 52
C. K. Shaji Mohan INC 44
T. Sajeevlal BJP 4


Cherthala 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Thilothaman CPI 53
K. R. Gouriamma JSS 42
P. K. Binoy BJP 4


CHENGANNUR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Chengannur is a slightly UDF leaning constituency. In 2011,P. C. Vishnunath of Indian National Congress defeated C. S. Sujatha of Communist Party Of India- Marxist by a margin of 12500 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 43 48
1987 49 30 7
1991 42 46 7
1996 40 44 13
2001 42 44 13
2006 45 51 4
2011 42 52 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 NDP 5 CPM
1987 CS 19 NDPP
1991 INC 4 CS
1996 INC 4 CS
2001 INC 2 CPM
2006 INC 6 CPM
2011 INC 10 CPM


Chengannur 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
S. Ramachandran Pillai NDP 48
P. K. Nambiar CPM 43
Ms. K. R. Saraswathy Amma IND 7


Chengannur 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Mammen Iype CS 49
R. Ramachandran Nair NDPP 30
Ind IND 13


Chengannur 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ms. Sobhana George INC 46
Mammen Iype CS 42
Sasidharan Karingalil BJP 7


Chengannur 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Sobhana George INC 44
Mammen Iype CS 40
Rajan Moolaveettil BJP 13


Chengannur 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Sobhana George INC 44
K. K. Ramachandran Nair CPM 42
M. T. Ramesh BJP 13


Chengannur 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. C. Vishnunath INC 51
Saji Cheriyan CPM 45
Mannar Satheesh BJP 4


Chengannur 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. C. Vishnunath INC 52
C. S. Sujatha CPM 42
B. Radhakrishnan Menon BJP 5


KAYAMKULAM

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Kayamkulam is a swing constituency. In 2011,C. K. Sadasivan of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated M. Murali of Indian National Congress by a margin of 1315 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 48 48
1987 51 42 3
1991 48 48 2
1996 49 46 3
2001 47 49 3
2006 50 44 5
2011 48 47 2


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INCA 0 CS
1987 CPM 9 INC
1991 INC 0 CPM
1996 CPM 3 INC
2001 INC 2 CPM
2006 CPM 6 INC
2011 CPM 1 INC


Kayamkulam 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thachadi Prabhakaran INCA 48
M. K. Raghavan CS 48
Ms. Daizy Samuel IND 3


Kayamkulam 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. R. Gopalakrishnan CPM 51
K. Gopinathan INC 42
Ind IND 3


Kayamkulam 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thachadi Prabhakaran INC 48
M. R. Gopalakrishnan CPM 48
T. K. Ananda Mallan BJP 2


Kayamkulam 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
G. Sudhakaran CPM 49
Thachadi Prabhakaran INC 46
Thaha Kunju PDP 3


Kayamkulam 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. M. Hassan INC 49
G. Sudhakaran CPM 47
Parayil Radhakrishnan BJP 3


Kayamkulam 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. K. Sadasivan CPM 50
C. R. Jayaprakash INC 44
P. Vijayakumar BJP 5


Kayamkulam 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. K. Sadasivan CPM 48
M. Murali INC 47
T. O. Naushad BJP 2