Malappuram Assembly Elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Malappuram belongs to Indian Union Muslim League. There would be very few places in the country where elections are so one sided. It isn’t the fact that 14 of 16 constituencies swing UDF, but the median margin of victory and the unsurmountable lead Muslim league has in some of these places which is impressive.

 

Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Kondotty UDF 23.5
Eranad UDF 9.8
Nilambur UDF 6.3
Wandoor UDF 10.9
Manjeri UDF 27.5
Perinthalmanna UDF 6.9
Mankada UDF 6.0
Malappuram UDF 36.4
Vengara UDF 38.4
Vallikunnu UDF 16.0
Tirurangadi UDF 22.3
Tanur UDF 29.3
Tirur UDF 9.8
Kottakkal UDF 31.4
Tavanur LDF 5.6
Ponnani SWING 4.9

 

Muslim league is arguably the best organized party in Kerala after CPM and it doesn’t look like league’s impressive iron grip over Malappuram will change any time soon. UDF has won 76 of 88 elections since 1982 with Muslim league single handedly winning 61 of those. More impressive are┬áthe strong margins UDF registers throughout the district from Vengara to Kottakkal to Manjeri.

 

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
IUML 61 12
INC 15 2
CPM 9 1
LDF 3 1
TOTAL 88 16

 

 

Constituencies in Malappuram are Eranad, Kondotty, Kottakkal, Malappuram, Manjeri, Mankada, Nilambur, Perinthalmanna, Ponnani, Tanur, Tavanur, Tirur, Tirurangadi, Vallikunnu, Vengara and Wandoor.

MANJERI

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Manjeri is a UDF bastion. In 2011,M. Ummer of Indian Union Muslim League defeated P. Gouri of Communist Party Of India by a margin of 29079 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 31 62 6
1987 27 63 8
1991 35 57 4
1996 32 60 4
2001 32 62 5
2006 42 52 4
2011 33 58 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 IUML 31 AIML
1987 IUML 36 LD
1991 IUML 22 JD
1996 IUML 28 JD
2001 IUML 30 JDS
2006 IUML 10 INL
2011 IUML 25 CPI


Manjeri 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. H. Mohammed Koya IUML 62
K. K. Mohammed AIML 31
P. G. Panicker BJP 6


Manjeri 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ishaq Kurikkal IUML 63
G. Kunjukrishna Pillai LD 27
M. Gopinath BJP 8


Manjeri 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. P. M. Isaq Kurickal IUML 57
K. P. Mohammed JD 35
C. Vasudevan Master BJP 4


Manjeri 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. P. M. Ishaq Kurikkal IUML 60
P. M. Safarulla JD 32
K. Somasundaran BJP 4


Manjeri 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Ishaq Kurikkal IUML 62
Abraham P Mathew JDS 32
Jyothis Manu BJP 5


Manjeri 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. K. Abdu Rabb IUML 52
A. P. Abdul Wahab INL 42
N. Sreeprakash BJP 4


Manjeri 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. Ummer IUML 58
P. Gouri CPI 33
P. G. Upendran BJP 5


MANKADA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Mankada is a slightly UDF leaning constituency. In 2011,T. A. Ahamed Kabeer of Indian Union Muslim League defeated Kadeeja Sathar of Communist Party Of India- Marxist by a margin of 23593 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 44 50 4
1987 40 52 5
1991 43 49 5
1996 46 47 4
2001 48 46 2
2006 49 46 2
2011 36 56 4


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 IUML 6 AIML
1987 IUML 12 CPM
1991 IUML 6 CPM
1996 IUML 1 LDF
2001 CPM 2 IUML
2006 LDF 3 IUML
2011 IUML 20 CPM


Mankada 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. A. Majeed IUML 50
K. Abu Haji AIML 44
K. R. Kurup BJP 4


Mankada 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. A. Majeed IUML 52
P. Moidu CPM 40
K. Velayudhan BJP 5


Mankada 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. A. Majeed IUML 49
K. Ummer Master CPM 43
Damodaran Palliyalil BJP 5


Mankada 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. P. A. Majeed IUML 47
Manjalamkuzhi Ali LDF 46
M. V. Narayanan BJP 4


Mankada 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Manjalamkuzhi Ali CPM 48
K. P. A. Majeed IUML 46
M. Vasantha Kumar BJP 2


Mankada 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Manjalamkuzhi Ali LDF 49
M. K. Muneer IUML 46
Kumari Sukumaran BJP 2


Mankada 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. A. Ahamed Kabeer IUML 56
Kadeeja Sathar CPM 36
K. Manikantan BJP 4


NILAMBUR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Nilambur is a strong UDF constituency. In 2011,Arayadan Mohammed of Indian National Congress defeated M. Thomas Mathew of Left Democratic Front by a margin of 5598 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 49 47 2
1987 41 50 3
1991 43 50 3
1996 44 50 3
2001 40 55 6
2006 43 54 2
2011 45 49 3


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 CPM 2 INCA
1987 INC 9 CPM
1991 INC 7 LDF
1996 INC 6 CPM
2001 INC 15 INL
2006 INC 11 CPM
2011 INC 4 LDF


Nilambur 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. K. Hamsa CPM 49
Aryadan Muhammed INCA 47
Gopalakrishan Thaloor BJP 2


Nilambur 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Aryadan Muhammed INC 50
Devadas Pottekkat CPM 41
Ind IND 5


Nilambur 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Aryadan Muhammed INC 50
K. Abdul Rahiman Master LDF 43
P. P. Achuthan BJP 3


Nilambur 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Aryadan Muhammed INC 50
M. Thomas Mathew CPM 44
O. Gangadharan Master BJP 3


Nilambur 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Aryadan Muhammed INC 55
P. Anwar Master INL 40
K. Premnath BJP 6


Nilambur 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Aryadan Muhammed INC 54
P. Sreeramakrishnan CPM 43
K. Prabhakaran BJP 2


Nilambur 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Arayadan Mohammed INC 49
M. Thomas Mathew LDF 45
K. C. Velayudhan BJP 3


PERINTHALMANNA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Perinthalmanna is a strong UDF constituency. In 2011,Manjalamkuzhi Ali of Indian Union Muslim League defeated V. Sasikumar of Communist Party Of India- Marxist by a margin of 9589 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 47 51
1987 43 52 2
1991 42 49 3
1996 44 50 3
2001 45 50 3
2006 52 43 2
2011 45 52 1


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 IUML 4 CPM
1987 IUML 9 CPM
1991 IUML 7 LDF
1996 IUML 6 CPM
2001 IUML 5 CPM
2006 CPM 9 IUML
2011 IUML 7 CPM


Perinthalmanna 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Nalakathu Soopi IUML 51
P. Unni CPM 47
T. K. Abdul Khader IND 1


Perinthalmanna 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Nalakathu Soopi IUML 52
R. N. Manazhi CPM 43
P. G. Panicker BJP 2


Perinthalmanna 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Nalakathu Soopi IUML 49
M. M. Musthapha LDF 42
K. P. Vasu Master BJP 3


Perinthalmanna 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Nalakathu Soopi IUML 50
A. Mohammed CPM 44
Unnikrishnan Cherath BJP 3


Perinthalmanna 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Nalakathu Soopi IUML 50
Sasi Kumar CPM 45
A. Sivadasan BJP 3


Perinthalmanna 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
V. Sasikumar CPM 52
P. Abdul Hamid Master IUML 43
Sathidevi Mandayi BJP 2


Perinthalmanna 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Manjalamkuzhi Ali IUML 52
V. Sasikumar CPM 45
C. K. Kunju Muhammad BJP 1