Do not misunderstand the swing status of Kottayam, Kottayam swings right. This district is holy ground of Kerala Congress politics, with Mani and Joseph wings of Kerala Congress winning more than half the seats in every election since 1982.
Kottayam Constituencies and Swing:
|Trends and Margins|
While our analysis lands 3 seats for UDF, 2 for LDF and 4 up in the air, need to note that the three UDF constituencies Palai manned by K.M.Mani, Puthupally won by Oommen Chandy and Changanassery won by intrepid C.F.Thomas are some of the safest seats for UDF in state outside of Malappuram. These three assembly constituencies have a median margin that is tough to overcome for any opponent. Interestingly CPI has won more seats in the district than CPM partly because of Vaikom which has always favored the former party.
Parties of influence:
Constituencies in KOTTAYAM are Changanassery, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Kanjirappally, Kottayam, Palai, Poonjar, Puthuppally and Vaikom.