Kottayam Assembly Elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Do not misunderstand the swing status of Kottayam, Kottayam swings right. This district is holy ground of Kerala Congress politics, with Mani and Joseph wings of Kerala Congress winning more than half the seats in every election since 1982.

 

Kottayam Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Palai UDF 18.6
Kaduthuruthy SWING 8.8
Vaikom LDF 7.3
Ettumanoor LDF 5.1
Kottayam SWING 6.8
Puthuppally UDF 12.9
Changanassery UDF 11.5
Kanjirappally SWING 7.0
Poonjar SWING 11.2

 

 

While our analysis lands 3 seats for UDF, 2 for LDF and 4 up in the air, need to note that the three UDF constituencies Palai manned by K.M.Mani, Puthupally won by Oommen Chandy and Changanassery won by intrepid C.F.Thomas are some of the safest seats for UDF in state outside of Malappuram. These three assembly constituencies have a median margin that is tough to overcome for any opponent.  Interestingly CPI has won more seats in the district than CPM partly because of Vaikom which has always favored the former party.

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
KCM 29 5
INC 12 2
CPI 8 1
CPM 7 1
KCJ 6 0
LDF 2 0
JAN 1 0
INCA 1 0
IND 1 0
KCS 1 0
SRP 1 0
TOTAL 69 9

 

Constituencies in KOTTAYAM are Changanassery, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Kanjirappally, Kottayam, Palai, Poonjar, Puthuppally and Vaikom.

ETTUMANOOR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Ettumanoor is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,K. Suresh Kurup of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated Thomas Chazhikadan of Kerala Congress- Mani by a margin of 1801 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 44 53 2
1987 41 8 4
1991 48 49
1996 40 54
2001 39 59
2006 45 50 3
2011 49 47 3


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 KCJ 9 CPM
1987 IND 3 CPM
1991 KCM 1 CPM
1996 KCM 14 CPM
2001 KCM 20 CPM
2006 KCM 5 CPM
2011 CPM 2 KCM


Ettumanoor 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
E. J. Lukose KCJ 53
Vaikom Viswan CPM 44
P. K. Ravindran BJP 2


Ettumanoor 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
George Joseph Podipara IND 44
T. Raman Bhattathiripad CPM 41
K. T. Mathai KCJ 8


Ettumanoor 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thomas Chazhikadan KCM 49
Vaikom Viswan CPM 48
U. N. Thampi IND 0


Ettumanoor 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thomas Chazhikadan KCM 54
Vaikom Viswan CPM 40
Asok Ramachandran IND 4


Ettumanoor 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thomas Chazhikadan KCM 59
Thampi Podippara CPM 39
Jose Varghese JDU 1


Ettumanoor 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Thomas Chazhikadan KCM 50
K. S. Krishnankutty Nair CPM 45
Ettumanoor Radhakrishnan BJP 3


Ettumanoor 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Suresh Kurup CPM 49
Thomas Chazhikadan KCM 47
V. G. Gopakumar BJP 3