Kollam Assembly Elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Kollam an erstwhile RSP and CPI bastion, leans left, and in 2016 LDF might just decimate UDF again. May 2016 also could be the end of Revolutionary Socialists as we know them, though Shibu Baby John may romp home in Chavara.

 

 

Kollam Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Karunagappally LDF 10.5
Chavara SWING 4.8
Kunnathur LDF 4.3
Kottarakkara SWING 12.0
Pathanapuram UDF 9.0
Punalur LDF 6.2
Chadayamangalam LDF 5.5
Kundara SWING 7.0
Kollam SWING 10.5
Eravipuram LDF 4.2
Chathannur LDF 4.2

 

There are 6 LDF leaning constituencies and with K.B.Ganesh Kumar now in the LDF camp, the only UDF leaning constituency has a high chance of flipping. RSP, a party that once had a pan-Travancore presence and now limited mostly to Kollam has a do or die election in hand, with it’s cadre revolting. If RSP loses bad or is limited to one MLA, it will mostly be game over for the second most winningest party in Kollam.

Kollam is a CPI and RSP stronghold with both these parties winning over 50% of seats since 1982. CPM is the up and comer and the party is clearly going after RSP votes and aims at ending Revolutionary Socialists once and for all.

 

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
CPI 23 4
RSP 19 2
CPM 12 3
INC 10 0
KCB 6 1
RSPB 3 1
KCJ 2 0
KCM 2 0
INCA 1 0
IUML 1 0
JANG 1 0
JSS 1 0
RSPS 1 0
SRP 1 0
TOTAL 83 11

 

Constituencies in Kollam are Chadayamangalam, Chathannur, Chavara, Eravipuram, Karunagappally, Kollam, Kottarakkara, Kundara, Kunnathur, Pathanapuram and Punalur.

CHATHANNUR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Chathannur is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,G. S. Jayalal of Communist Party Of India defeated Bindu Krishna of Indian National Congress by a margin of 12589 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 45 53
1987 48 46 5
1991 46 50 3
1996 47 45 3
2001 47 48 5
2006 57 35 5
2011 53 42 3


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INC 8 CPI
1987 CPI 2 INC
1991 INC 4 CPI
1996 CPI 2 INC
2001 INC 1 CPI
2006 CPI 22 INC
2011 CPI 11 INC


Chathannur 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. V. Padmarajan INC 53
J. Chitharanjan CPI 45
D. Pankajakshan IND 1


Chathannur 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Raveendran CPI 48
C. V. Padmarajan INC 46
P. Gopalakrishana Pillai BJP 5


Chathannur 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. V. Padmarajan INC 50
P. Raveendran CPI 46
K. Sudhakaran BJP 3


Chathannur 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Raveendran CPI 47
C. V. Padmarajan INC 45
G. Rajendran Pillai BJP 3


Chathannur 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
G. Pratapavarma Thampan INC 48
N. Anirudhan CPI 47
B. Sajanlal BJP 5


Chathannur 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
N. Anirudhan CPI 57
G. Pratapavarma Thampan INC 35
K. Muraleedharan Pillai BJP 5


Chathannur 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
G. S. Jayalal CPI 53
Bindu Krishna INC 42
Kizhkkanela Sudhakaran BJP 3


KARUNAGAPPALLY

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Karunagappally is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,C. Divakaran of Communist Party Of India defeated A. N. Rajan Babu of Janadhipathya Samrakshna Samithi by a margin of 14522 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 47 52
1987 54 40 4
1991 51 45 3
1996 51 34 5
2001 48 49 3
2006 52 40 3
2011 50 40 4


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 SRP 5 CPI
1987 CPI 14 INC
1991 CPI 6 INC
1996 CPI 17 JSS
2001 JSS 1 CPI
2006 CPI 12 JSS
2011 CPI 10 JSS


Karunagappally 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
T. V. Vijayarajan SRP 52
B. M. Sheriff CPI 47
Manakkal Ravi IND 0


Karunagappally 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. S. Sreenivasan CPI 54
K. C. Rajan INC 40
K. L. Thankamani BJP 4


Karunagappally 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. S. Sreenivasan CPI 51
Ms. Jamila Ibrahim INC 45
T. K. Ramakrishna Pillai BJP 3


Karunagappally 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
E. Chandrasekharan Nair CPI 51
Satjith JSS 34
S. Suvarna Kumar PDP 9


Karunagappally 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. N. Rajan Babu JSS 49
K. C. Pillai CPI 48
T. Kalesan BJP 3


Karunagappally 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. Divakaran CPI 52
A. N. Rajan Babu JSS 40
N. Parameswaran Potty IND 4


Karunagappally 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. Divakaran CPI 50
A. N. Rajan Babu JSS 40
Nazarudeen Elamaram SDPI 6


KOLLAM

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Kollam is a swing constituency. In 2011,P. K. Gurudasan of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated K. C. Rajan of Indian National Congress by a margin of 8540 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 42 52
1987 49 35 12
1991 45 50 3
1996 49 43 5
2001 41 54 4
2006 55 41 4
2011 51 43 4


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 RSPS 10 RSP
1987 RSP 14 RSPS
1991 INC 5 RSP
1996 RSP 6 INC
2001 RSPB 13 RSP
2006 CPM 14 RSPM
2011 CPM 8 INC


Kollam 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Kadavur Sivadasan RSPS 52
S. Thyagarajan RSP 42
N. Rajagopalan IND 2


Kollam 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Babu Divakaran RSP 49
Kadavur Sivadasan RSPS 35
G. Rajendran BJP 12


Kollam 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Sivadasan INC 50
Babu Divakaran RSP 45
K. Raghavan Nair BJP 3


Kollam 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Babu Divakaran RSP 49
Kadavur Sivadasan INC 43
P. Radhakrishnan BJP 5


Kollam 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Babu Divakaran RSPB 54
Kallada Vijayam RSP 41
A. Parameswaran Pillai BJP 4


Kollam 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. K. Gurudasan CPM 55
Babu Divakaran RSPM 41
C. Thampi BJP 4


Kollam 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. K. Gurudasan CPM 51
K. C. Rajan INC 43
G. Hari BJP 4


KOTTARAKKARA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Kottarakkara is a swing constituency. In 2011,P. Aysha Potty of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated N. N. Murali of Kerala Congress- Balakrishna Pillai by a margin of 20592 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 43 55
1987 40 43 2
1991 44 50 2
1996 47 51
2001 41 54 3
2006 53 41 3
2011 54 39 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 KCM 12 CPI
1987 KCJ 3 CPI
1991 KCB 6 CPM
1996 KCB 4 CPM
2001 KCB 13 CPM
2006 CPM 12 KCB
2011 CPM 15 KCB


Kottarakkara 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCM 55
E. Chandrasekharan Nair CPI 43
Thomas K. Panicker IND 1


Kottarakkara 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCJ 43
E. Rajendran CPI 40
Ind IND 14


Kottarakkara 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCB 50
George Mathew CPM 44
K. Ramachandran Nair BJP 2


Kottarakkara 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCB 51
George Mathew CPM 47
M. Sukumaran IND 2


Kottarakkara 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCB 54
V. Raveendran Nair CPM 41
N. Chandramohanan BJP 3


Kottarakkara 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Aisha Potty CPM 53
R. Balakrishna Pillai KCB 41
N. Chandramohanan BJP 3


Kottarakkara 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. Aysha Potty CPM 54
N. N. Murali KCB 39
Vayakkal Madhu BJP 5