Kollam Assembly Elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Kollam an erstwhile RSP and CPI bastion, leans left, and in 2016 LDF might just decimate UDF again. May 2016 also could be the end of Revolutionary Socialists as we know them, though Shibu Baby John may romp home in Chavara.

 

 

Kollam Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Karunagappally LDF 10.5
Chavara SWING 4.8
Kunnathur LDF 4.3
Kottarakkara SWING 12.0
Pathanapuram UDF 9.0
Punalur LDF 6.2
Chadayamangalam LDF 5.5
Kundara SWING 7.0
Kollam SWING 10.5
Eravipuram LDF 4.2
Chathannur LDF 4.2

 

There are 6 LDF leaning constituencies and with K.B.Ganesh Kumar now in the LDF camp, the only UDF leaning constituency has a high chance of flipping. RSP, a party that once had a pan-Travancore presence and now limited mostly to Kollam has a do or die election in hand, with it’s cadre revolting. If RSP loses bad or is limited to one MLA, it will mostly be game over for the second most winningest party in Kollam.

Kollam is a CPI and RSP stronghold with both these parties winning over 50% of seats since 1982. CPM is the up and comer and the party is clearly going after RSP votes and aims at ending Revolutionary Socialists once and for all.

 

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
CPI 23 4
RSP 19 2
CPM 12 3
INC 10 0
KCB 6 1
RSPB 3 1
KCJ 2 0
KCM 2 0
INCA 1 0
IUML 1 0
JANG 1 0
JSS 1 0
RSPS 1 0
SRP 1 0
TOTAL 83 11

 

Constituencies in Kollam are Chadayamangalam, Chathannur, Chavara, Eravipuram, Karunagappally, Kollam, Kottarakkara, Kundara, Kunnathur, Pathanapuram and Punalur.

CHADAYAMANGALAM

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Chadayamangalam is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,Mullakkara Ratnakaran of Communist Party Of India defeated Shahida Kamal of Indian National Congress by a margin of 23624 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 56 43
1987 53 38 6
1991 50 45 3
1996 49 46
2001 47 49 3
2006 50 45 3
2011 56 37 3


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 CPI 13 NDP
1987 CPI 15 NDPP
1991 CPI 5 INC
1996 CPI 3 INC
2001 INC 2 CPI
2006 CPI 5 INC
2011 CPI 19 INC


Chadayamangalam 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Chandramohan CPI 56
G. Chandrasekharan Unnith NDP 43


Chadayamangalam 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. R. Chandramohan CPI 53
R. Radhakrishna Pillai NDPP 38
K. Sivadasan BJP 6


Chadayamangalam 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
E. Rajendran CPI 50
M. Hidur Mohammed INC 45
R. Radhakrishnan BJP 3


Chadayamangalam 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
R. Lathadevi CPI 49
Prayar Gopalakrishnan INC 46
U. K. Abdul Rasheed Moulavi IND 4


Chadayamangalam 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Prayar Gopalakrishnan INC 49
R. Lathadevi CPI 47
V. S. Unnikrishnan BJP 3


Chadayamangalam 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Mullakkara Ratnakaran CPI 50
Prayar Gopalakrishnan INC 45
Yeoor Anil BJP 3


Chadayamangalam 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Mullakkara Ratnakaran CPI 56
Shahida Kamal INC 37
Saju Kumar BJP 3


PAYYANNUR

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Payyannur is a red fort of LDF. In 2011,C. Krishnan of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated K. Brijesh Kumar of Indian National Congress by a margin of 32124 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 57 37 4
1987 50 42 5
1991 56 40 3
1996 59 36 4
2001 57 39 4
2006 62 33 4
2011 60 35 4


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 CPM 20 INC
1987 CPM 8 INC
1991 CPM 16 INC
1996 CPM 23 INC
2001 CPM 18 INC
2006 CPM 29 INC
2011 CPM 25 INC


Payyannur 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. V. Raghavan CPM 57
T. V. Bharathan INC 37
N. K. Bhaskaran BJP 4


Payyannur 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. P. Narayanan CPM 50
M. K. Raghavan INC 42
P. P. Karunakaran Master BJP 5


Payyannur 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. P. Narayanan CPM 56
M. P. Murali INC 40
V. Rajagopalan BJP 3


Payyannur 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
Pinarayi Vijayan CPM 59
K. N. Kannoth INC 36
K. Ramachandran BJP 4


Payyannur 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. K. Sreemathi CPM 57
M. Narayanan Kutty INC 39
D. Govindan Master BJP 4


Payyannur 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
P. K. Sreemathi CPM 62
K. Surendran INC 33
A. K. Rajagopalan Master BJP 4


Payyannur 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. Krishnan CPM 60
K. Brijesh Kumar INC 35
C. K. Ramesan Master BJP 4


VADAKKANCHERRY

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Vadakkancherry is a swing constituency. In 2011,C. N. Balarkrishnan of Indian National Congress defeated N. R. Balan of Communist Party Of India- Marxist by a margin of 6685 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 46 47
1987 39 48 5
1991 42 50 5
1996 42 51
2001 43 51 5
2006 55 38 4
2011 44 49 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 INC 1 JAN
1987 INC 9 JAN
1991 INC 8 KCJ
1996 INC 9 KCJ
2001 INC 8 KCJ
2006 CPM 17 DIC
2011 INC 5 CPM


Vadakkancherry 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. S. Narayanan Namboodiri INC 47
Puzhamkara Balanarayanan JAN 46
Lekshminarayanan Master IND 4


Vadakkancherry 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. S. Narayanan Namboodiri INC 48
C. K. Nanu JAN 39
Ind IND 6


Vadakkancherry 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. S. Narayanan Namboodiri INC 50
K. Mohandas KCJ 42
Ms. Jnanambika Menon BJP 5


Vadakkancherry 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
V. Balaram INC 51
K. Mohandas KCJ 42
V. K. Babu BLP 4


Vadakkancherry 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
V. Balaram INC 51
M. P. Pauly KCJ 43
P. T. V. Battathirippad BJP 5


Vadakkancherry 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
A. C. Moideen CPM 55
T. V. Chandramohan DIC 38
E. Chandran BJP 4


Vadakkancherry 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. N. Balarkrishnan INC 49
N. R. Balan CPM 44
P. P. Shajumon BJP 5


CHELAKKARA

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Chelakkara is a slightly left leaning constituency. In 2011,K. Radhakrishnan of Communist Party Of India- Marxist defeated K. B. Sasi Kumar of Indian National Congress by a margin of 24676 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 50 47
1987 41 49 7
1991 45 50 4
1996 47 44 7
2001 49 47 4
2006 54 41 5
2011 55 37 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 CPM 3 INC
1987 INC 8 CPM
1991 INC 5 CPM
1996 CPM 3 INC
2001 CPM 2 INC
2006 CPM 13 INC
2011 CPM 18 INC


Chelakkara 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
C. K. Chakrapani CPM 50
T. K. C. Vaduthala INC 47
Ayyappan IND 1


Chelakkara 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. A. Kuttappan INC 49
K. V. Pushpa CPM 41
Gopi Master BJP 7


Chelakkara 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
M. P. Thami INC 50
C. Kuttappan CPM 45
C. Velayudhan BJP 4


Chelakkara 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Radhakrishnan CPM 47
T. A. Radhakrishnan INC 44
C. C. Kunjan BJP 7


Chelakkara 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Radhakrishnan CPM 49
K. A. Thulasi INC 47
E. P. Suresh BJP 4


Chelakkara 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Radhakrishnan CPM 54
P. C. Manikandan INC 41
Shajumon Vattekkad BJP 5


Chelakkara 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. Radhakrishnan CPM 55
K. B. Sasi Kumar INC 37
V. A. Krishna Kumaran BJP 5