Kottayam Assembly Elections

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING

 

Summary:

Do not misunderstand the swing status of Kottayam, Kottayam swings right. This district is holy ground of Kerala Congress politics, with Mani and Joseph wings of Kerala Congress winning more than half the seats in every election since 1982.

 

Kottayam Constituencies and Swing:
Trends and Margins
Const. Swing Margin
Palai UDF 18.6
Kaduthuruthy SWING 8.8
Vaikom LDF 7.3
Ettumanoor LDF 5.1
Kottayam SWING 6.8
Puthuppally UDF 12.9
Changanassery UDF 11.5
Kanjirappally SWING 7.0
Poonjar SWING 11.2

 

 

While our analysis lands 3 seats for UDF, 2 for LDF and 4 up in the air, need to note that the three UDF constituencies Palai manned by K.M.Mani, Puthupally won by Oommen Chandy and Changanassery won by intrepid C.F.Thomas are some of the safest seats for UDF in state outside of Malappuram. These three assembly constituencies have a median margin that is tough to overcome for any opponent.  Interestingly CPI has won more seats in the district than CPM partly because of Vaikom which has always favored the former party.

Parties of influence:
Party Wins
Party Since 1982 2011
KCM 29 5
INC 12 2
CPI 8 1
CPM 7 1
KCJ 6 0
LDF 2 0
JAN 1 0
INCA 1 0
IND 1 0
KCS 1 0
SRP 1 0
TOTAL 69 9

 

Constituencies in KOTTAYAM are Changanassery, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Kanjirappally, Kottayam, Palai, Poonjar, Puthuppally and Vaikom.

PALAI

Swing Meter:
LDF UDF SWING
Summary:

Palai is a UDF bastion. In 2011,K. M. Mani of Kerala Congress- Mani defeated Mani C. Kappen of National Congress Party by a margin of 5259 votes.


Percentage votes since 1982:


YEAR LDF UDF BJP
percentage votes by alliance
1982 40 58
1987 42 55
1991 38 56 5
1996 33 61 4
2001 37 63
2006 43 52 4
2011 45 49 5


Winning Party votes since 1982:


YEAR WIN % 2ND
percentage margin of victory
1982 KCM 18 LDF
1987 KCM 13 CS
1991 KCM 18 LDF
1996 KCM 28 CPM
2001 KCM 26 NCP
2006 KCM 9 NCP
2011 KCM 4 NCP


Palai 1982 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 58
J. A. Chacko LDF 40
Joseph Cherian IND 1


Palai 1987 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 55
K. S. Sebastian CS 42
Ind IND 3


Palai 1991 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 56
George C. Kappan LDF 38
Narayanan Namboothiri BJP 5


Palai 1996 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 61
C. K. Jeevan CPM 33
P. R. Muraleedharan BJP 4


Palai 2001 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 63
Uzhavoor Vijayan NCP 37


Palai 2006 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 52
Mani C. Kappan NCP 43
Jayasooryan BJP 4


Palai 2011 election results:


Candidate Party % Votes
percentage votes by candidate
K. M. Mani KCM 49
Mani C. Kappen NCP 45
B. Vijayakumar BJP 5